One question I keep seeing all over the internet is was March 23rd the bottom? Well, that remains to be seen. Maybe, maybe not.
I am of the opinion that the market could keep going up and that COULD have been the bottom. At the same time, we could also go lower from here.
At the same time, I can’t say I care one way or the other. The majority of my investments are on a 5-20 year timeline. All that matters to me is that the prices we saw in January are not the highest we will EVER see again. I expect that we will get back to All-time highs and go higher after this is over. The pressure is building and when we hear good news, I fully expect the market will rally like never seen before. I won’t be surprised if a rally occurs faster than most people expect.
As long as the market is up higher than the current ATH during your investment horizon, you are getting dividends, reinvesting, making regular contributions, then the current market conditions are not something to worry about.
How is the Coronavirus itself looking?
We are now seeing a slowing of Coronavirus cases in Italy and Spain. Cases are increasing under 3% and deaths under 4%. This is reassuring. Who knows how long it will be until those economies open back up. However, we are seeing a move in a positive direction. Here in the states, we are still seeing an increase of 8.4% in cases and a whopping 18% increase in deaths today. We have a ways to go, especially here in Georgia, where I don’t believe we adequately prepared for this. Our governor is a bit of a disappointment.
I think life as we know it will probably change until the end of the year. Things will gradually open up but we will all be cautious of going to a crowded concert or restaurant again. Who wouldn’t be???
I have largely been staying in, only to go out for mail/groceries and a rare walk (most places are closed). My fear is not the illness itself but perhaps the medical bills that come with it. My greater fear is having it, not knowing it and giving it to my elderly mother who is an extremely high-risk case here. These are the things that linger at the back of our minds as we face this. My wife’s job has been TERRIBLY affected because she is a full-time musician who depends on gigs for a living. Imagine all of your work gone in a blink of an eye. Myself, I am lucky that I do mostly online teaching anyways and my business has even increased due to the virus.
I fear what will happen to the country during this downturn. So many small businesses could go under here. I see LOTS of businesses over leveraged, borrowing more so they will be “prepared” if this goes on longer.
Anyways, what moves have I made this week with my buying and selling?
1)I keep buying Stanley Black & Decker. I am up an incredible 42% in one tranche I bought, not even that long ago. Of course, I keep buying, so overall I’m up something around 18% in the stock. Nice Dividend Aristocrat and solid company LONG-TERM
2)I am taking nibbles at ITOT every couple of days. I am NOT trying to time the bottom here. I am sticking to my plan of buying anywhere near 2400 and under. I am also buying smaller portions at 2600. I think these are decent entry points long-term.
3)I am gobbling up QQQ on any dips. I think this is a SUPERB ETF to be in. It is less exposed to things like restaurants, hotels, and cruise lines. It is tech-heavy, but I am fine being tech-heavy during these times.
4)I bought Lowes for a SWING TRADE. I only made around $24 bucks off of it but I only held it like three days. I continue to play either Home Depot or Lowes for weekly Swing trades. I like these stocks for swing trades, because I am fine holding either long-term if I can’t get out of my trade quickly for a profit. I made around 8.4% off of this trade. Last week, I traded Home Depot in my IRA account for even a greater profit. I think THIS is the type of market to swing trade-in. You will see tremendous volatility, swings of 8-10% in one day. Why not take advantage of it to go with your long-term investing??
5)I am still playing the TRUCKING SECTOR as I feel these stocks were already beaten down prior to the crash and are holding up well. Marten Transports is one that continues to perform well. So far, up over 8% in the stock over the course of a few days.
As always, here is the YOUTUBE video discussing Some of this: